Over the past two years, I've pubbed five best bets every Friday afternoon on this website. In 2016, the picks were great. Last year, ehhhhh, not so much.This year I'm back at it, participating as a member of #TeamOS with the fine, friendly folks at OddsShark (they have some , highly recommend them as an excellent resource). More on the NFL Good news for you: my first bet was a loser and you didn't see it because it came on Thursday night, with the failing to cover a pick 'em spread against the . Credit Philly's defense for putting pre sure on , but the Falcons looked discombobulated and struggled badly in the red zone. (This is where I panic and think it's Groundhog Day. OH GOD !!!)Anyway, bad start to the season, but I'm pretty confident I was on the right side of that bet Thursday night: Atlanta gagged away a very good chance to start the season 1-0 and a very winnable game by being terrible in the red zone. The Falcons can spend their Friday and their weekend getting mad about that disaster. I don't have that luxury. Let's find some more winners. Send me your best bets on Twitter @WillBrinson and if you want every game against the spread along with tons of betting nuggets for every weekend, check out the Pick Six Podcast, .To the best bets (all lines set by the Westgate for the SuperContest): (-6.5) vs. I was willing to bet on Minnesota way back in May when they were -5 and even with the line moving up substantially, I'm still on board with this pick. Laying a large number against and Kyle Shanahan is risky, but Minnesota is just a better team with an excellent homefield advantage. The only red flag Rashaad Penny Jersey here is a stumble by and that offense out of the gate under new offensive coordinator John DeFillipo and the po sible offensive i sues they might have against a secretly stout 49ers defensive front. (OK that's two red flags but you get the point.) I'm just so on board with this defense and the ability of the Vikings to get a lead and salt things away with that I'm willing to ignore other concerns. Last year the Vikings were 6-3 against the spread at home, but their point differential in those games is striking, as they won those games by an average of 11 points per game. Even more striking? They COVERED those games by an average of a touchdown. This is a top-shelf team at home against and up-and-coming conference contender. Give me the Vikes. , (+3) at This line stinks and I know it. Everyone is going to be on the Bengals, but it's not like we're talking road chalk here -- and the Bengals are a better team overall. Frank Reich's ability to coach up an offense and potentially playing po sum this offseason is a little bit concerning; what if the Colts just come out firing? But look at this Cincy team and how it matches up against the Colts. The one thing that can me s up and this offense is being able to really generate pre sure and rough up the offensive line and I'm not sure the Colts can do that right now. This defense is transitioning to a new scheme and the revamped Bengals offensive line should be able to block for them. A.J. Green and are Jason Myers Jersey going to shake free for a couple of deep pa ses against an extremely thin and vulnerable secondary and then Cincy's going to FEED to put this game away and win in Week 1 on the road. Getting the points feels like a bonus I'm not supposed to have. (+1.5) vs. I'm extremely high on the Titans this season and have them winning the AFC South. But I've got them losing a surprising game in Week 1 of the 2018 season. Why? Because Adam Gase is underrated in terms of his ability to prepare. We only have two years of his work, but consider he almost upset the (12-10 lo s) in Seattle in 2016, and in Week 2 of last year, after the Dolphins had their home opener cancelled by a hurricane and were forced to travel to multiple cities before eventually opening up against the on the road in Los Angeles, pulled off an impre sive win against an impre sive Chargers team. I'm all aboard the Mike Vrabel train and all about the Matt LaFleur train, but this is a good week to be getting a green coaching staff. The Titans have a nice secondary, but should be able to dink and dunk them to death, utilizing Kenyon Drake, and . I'm already excited to take the 0-1 Titans as home dogs in Week 2 after the scare the on Sunday. (+3.5) vs. ChargersAnother coaching matchup layup here. No offense to Anthony Lynn and MY Chargers, but Andy Reid owns this team. Change his nickname from "Big Red" to "Baby Spanos." Reid is 8-0 in his last eight games against the Chargers. . It can't last forever, of course, and there's reason to be scared here if you're a Chiefs fan. is new under center and we don't know exactly what to expect. The defense has looked terrible this preseason and it doesn't appear is going to be at full strength for this game if he can even go. The Chargers are a better overall roster and a better overall team. But this Chiefs team just has ' number and it sounds increasingly likely that won't be able to go for LA. If the Chargers are mi sing their best pa s rusher, it's going to give wideouts more time to get open and when you give more time to get open it's too late because you're already Benson Mayowa Jersey dead and he's doing the peace sign while he's sauntering into the end zone. If you're going to hand me the hook with this coaching matchup and Reid's history not just against the Chargers but in Week 1 games (3-0 the last three seasons straight up, with all those games on the road) I'm going to take it. BONUS UNDERDOG PARLAY OF THE WEEKApparently I'm supposed to give you an underdog pick, and I think the Chiefs qualify, but I'm gonna make you some more money and let you double down and get greedy as hell. Let's go ahead and parlay the Chiefs MONEYLINE (+175 or thereabouts depending on where you shop) along with the OVER of 48. That two-game parlay pays out just under 4-1 if you bet it, so go ahead and dabble a unit or two on that as well, banking on Andy Reid and his offense coming through in the clutch and a bunch of defensive injuries causing this to turn into a shootout. This over should be north of 50.2018 RECORD 0-00-10-0 0-1
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